Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.506685 0.670899 0.859017 1.087278 1.353613 1.651575 2.007112
2025-03-23 0.309006 0.514850 0.784709 1.149459 1.615096 2.176124 2.889483
2025-03-30 0.184704 0.396799 0.716029 1.192347 1.848109 2.685447 3.801410
2025-04-06 0.104608 0.302000 0.646142 1.210436 2.040858 3.153757 4.693605
2025-04-13 0.050636 0.215463 0.557008 1.175222 2.145871 3.506043 5.451716
2025-04-20 0.024737 0.164049 0.507044 1.184888 2.307863 3.938067 6.330293
2025-04-27 0.010831 0.125706 0.465721 1.196545 2.467134 4.368828 7.220103
2025-05-04 0.002933 0.087176 0.404423 1.156112 2.533513 4.662238 7.924998
2025-05-11 0.000329 0.057962 0.347806 1.109022 2.578221 4.919114 8.581214
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.042589 0.320804 1.115393 2.711335 5.312405 9.442553
2025-05-25 NaN 0.027342 0.279904 1.079853 2.762869 5.576952 10.119782
2025-06-01 NaN 0.023106 0.281175 1.143693 3.000572 6.144060 11.258830
2025-06-08 NaN 0.015425 0.257236 1.141689 3.117671 6.528844 12.147865
2025-06-15 NaN 0.013889 0.267760 1.232631 3.421320 7.229610 13.533669
2025-06-22 NaN 0.011158 0.266807 1.291923 3.665989 7.840956 14.797570
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007861 0.255217 1.318567 3.846282 8.350360 15.916200
2025-07-06 NaN 0.004079 0.225862 1.285080 3.899977 8.647262 16.712467
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002398 0.212518 1.297358 4.048344 9.107987 17.771045
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001308 0.200562 1.310803 4.198644 9.574626 18.845695
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000369 0.174742 1.268300 4.222735 9.820951 19.576292
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000037 0.149610 1.218398 4.224220 10.024986 20.241218
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000001 0.139825 1.225329 4.354731 10.461206 21.284447
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.121128 1.187503 4.376814 10.701323 22.014311